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from the randomness of a coin flip

/>imsun; font-size:medium; line-height:normal">MARINA BAY, Singapore -- Last years Singapore Grand Prix winner Sebastian Vettel believes the odds are stacked against a repeat result this weekend, saying Mercedes remain the favourites for victory. 

Larry Allen Cowboys Jersey/>imsun; font-size:medium; line-height:normal"> .Vettels win 12 months still stands as Ferraris most recent victory in F1 and came on a weekend when Mercedes experienced an unusual dip in form. Since then Ferrari has dropped into a battle for second place in the constructors championship with Red Bull, while Mercedes has not suffered the same problems at any other circuit.Mercedes team boss Toto Wolff believes the result 12 months ago means his team is not the favourite to win in Singapore on Sunday, but Vettel disagrees.This track was very good for us last year and I think in general we improved the car from last year so it should be a raceable track for us again, he said. Its difficult to know exactly [where we will be] but in general you have to put Mercedes as the favourite -- even though they had a very difficult time here last time, there is no guarantee that it will happen again.If there is trouble [for Mercedes] then I think everybody else is happy to take advantage, but looking at it ahead of the race they are the favourites. For tyres and strategy in general, it depends what happens in the race with safety cars etcetera. In qualifying its clear that you will try to go as far as you can, but the race you depend on what tyres you have left and also on the safety car.But Vettel says his 12-month victory drought has not changed his approach to racing.In the end Im here to win and that might sound optimistic, but there is always a chance, he said. You never know what happens, maybe you start fifth and the first four guys crash at the first corner and you are handed a chance. Its not highly likely, but its possible.Otherwise it would be, as a matter of fact, quite boring to sit here on Thursday and talk about a race where the result is already decided. Its part of the sport and the race for us inside the car and for the people watching that we dont know whats going to happen. Larry Allen Womens Jersey/>imsun; font-size:medium; line-height:normal">.C. -- Chris Thorburn thinks one of the reasons the Winnipeg Jets have been successful under new coach Paul Maurice is that theyre playing together as a team. Dez Bryant Womens Jersey/>imsun; font-size:medium; line-height:normal"> . The head of USA Boxing came out swinging Tuesday with an open letter to Tyson -- a former Olympic hopeful himself -- that accuses the former heavyweight champion of trying to poach fighters who might be candidates for the U. http:///...ey-Authentic-Jersey//>imsun; font-size:medium; line-height:normal"> . Dallas hasnt ruled out the star quarterback for Sunday nights game against Philadelphia, but all signs point to Romos back injury pushing Kyle Orton into the starting role after two years of limited play as the backup. Surely Ortons name isnt the first that comes to mind for fans wanting a change after years of damaging interceptions, fumbles or, most infamously, the field goal flub when Romo dropped the snap on a kick that could have won his first playoff game in 2006. What is the difference between a Twenty20, a fifty-over match and a five-day Test? Is there a hidden dissimilarity? The game essentially remains the same: the ball, the bat, the pitch, the stump height, the rules (more or less) and the players (not always). Then, why is it that some teams can consistently play well and win in one format but look pedestrian in another?More questions. Why do teams manage to score 200 runs in a Twenty20 while in a fifty-over game 300 is not easy? And why is scoring 400 runs in the fourth innings (even on a good pitch) of a Test nearly impossible? How come Dale Steyn is carted for more than 20 runs in an over by average players in Twenty20s, but when it comes to Tests, they cant lay bat to his deliveries?Why do we love to play Candy Crush? It looks so silly at times to slide fingers over a smartphone, but lets face it, everyone does it. Why? The answer I presume is not that we love sweets or chocolates (though it is a nudging factor) but it is the nature of the game. It involves a lot of luck and only a little bit of smartness. If you lose, you say it was luck; if you win, you can silently pat your ego for being smart. Would we play chess like this? I cant imagine, because chess is essentially a game that does not involve luck. If you win, it entirely proves that you are smarter than the opponent. Even in card games, when the experience of the players starts to converge, it is the lucky one who is dealt all the aces that wins. Sometimes even a novice beats a seasoned player. But in chess, a novice never wins. If players are equal in ability, the one who is more alert on the day may win but he still cant be called lucky.Unlike most sports, chess begins on the same board with the same pieces arranged in the same spots. There is no toss, wind, sunlight, a line call or injured players to induce luck. Some other games are similar, like checkers, but chess possibilities make it vastly superior.The popular games will always be slightly high on the luck factor because watching unpredictability is easier than facing it. Uncertainty also keeps the underdogs interested and hopeful of toppling a big-name team or player. Sports which have no element of luck, like chess, struggle to penetrate for viewership. This is not to say that only sports involving luck are popular. Olympic track and field events are hugely popular but they owe their viewership to the sense of the event. Imagine watching a 100-metres race, a wrestling match or a shot-put event every month.Football too has an element of luck which introduces unpredictability, and hence reduces the dominance of perennial favorites. True, some teams dominate but others are never out of contention. Where else do we see a rank outsider like Senegal beating France or Cameroon stunning Argentina?Why are tennis and Test cricket high on intensity while low on luck? Its primarily because a lucky line call or a streaky boundary might give you a point or a run, but they cant win you the match. In Twenty20, or even in an ODI, a couple of lucky hits, wickets or even dot balls can make the difference. And remember there are no second chances in limited-overs cricket.This is not to say that players who excel in the shorter formats dont have these attributes, but Test cricket does require a lot of patience, perseverance and grit. To turn a Test match is no joke: it needs a sustained high-quality performance to tilt it, eveen more to turn it in your favour. Randy White Womens Jersey/>imsun; font-size:medium; line-height:normal">. The length of a Test match ensures luck does not dominate the game. If it were not so, we would see a lot of inferior teams winning Tests. In the IPL, every year mostly all the teams have a chance of qualifying till the end. This is pure randomness. Who are the players who excel in this? Not only brilliant players of the shorter version, but also those who are masters of cashing in on randomness. MS Dhoni is such a master. Using his influence as a captain, he loves bringing every game to a state where a stroke or a wicket can decide the game. If a chase comes to a point where 120 runs are needed in 20 overs, instead of batting with sustained aggression, he would stretch it to make it a game of chance. He would bring the equation to say, 75 in ten, and then 40 in four overs. At this stage, the opposing captain will not have a choice but to gamble. He would forget the ideas of field setting or wicket-taking and would indulge in pure run-stopping tactics. Before I proceed, let me clarify. There is nothing unethical in Dhonis methods.Dhoni works hard to find himself in a 22 runs off ten balls situation. He loves it. This introduces randomness in the game. An edge can fly over third man, a catch might be dropped, or the bowler may drift to the leg side under pressure. All such things help the batting side. Moreover, Dhoni, invariably the senior batsman in such a situation, hits the ball out of the ground with his muscular swing and wins it. Dhoni becomes a hero while the spectators and fans are left to bite their nails.A Test can rarely be brought to a lottery state where it can be decided by a swing or two. A few fortunate happenings will even out in the day itself. This is where a quality player excels. He needs to bat or bowl session after session with the same intensity, aggression and most importantly, with the same calibre. This is indeed very tough. VVS Laxman did this for five sessions against the worlds best in Kolkata in 2001. His effort produced possibly the greatest cricketing contest.Five deliveries compared to five sessions. Which one do you prefer?Batting in cricket depends a lot on horizon. Arguably, every delivery can be hit out of the park - even the ones delivered from stratosphere by Curtly Ambrose and Joel Garner. Batting also depends on the match state and batsmans mindset. So, if the horizon is an over, it is not at all a heroic act to hit sixes against Dale Styen - or for that matter two or three. In fact, it is more like a gamble that might pay off. It does need, however, a basic capability of hand-eye coordination and a good swing. Further, in Twenty20 situations, if a batsman fails, he has nothing to lose, especially if he has scored well in his previous innings. So, with that knowledge, he can always swing with abandon. If the same state becomes surviving a whole day against Dale Steyn bowling at his will, scoring even 20 runs becomes a challenge for most batsmen.The more you shorten the game, the more it hinges on a few events - most of them can be pure luck. Try playing a one-over game. The outcome of a match between international teams would not be far away from the randomness of a coin flip.If you have a submission for Inbox, send it to us here, with Inbox in the subject line. Cheap NFL Jerseys/>imsun; font-size:medium; line-height:normal"> Cheap NFL Jerseys China/>imsun; font-size:medium; line-height:normal"> Cheap Jerseys From China/>imsun; font-size:medium; line-height:normal"> Cheap NFL Jerseys Authentic/>imsun; font-size:medium; line-height:normal"> Wholesale Jerseys ChinaCheap NFL Jerseys China/>imsun; font-size:medium; line-height:normal"> NFL Cheap Jerseys/>imsun; font-size:medium; line-height:normal"> Cheap NFL Jerseys/>imsun; font-size:medium; line-height:normal"> ' ' '



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    from the randomness of a coin flip
    from the randomness of a coin flip
    MARINA BAY, Singapore -- Last years Singapore Grand Prix winner Sebastian Vettel believes the odds are stacked against a repeat result this weekend, s...